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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-14 00:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 80,714.66 (+5.1%) | 16 | 0.7% | 3h | 4.9d ago · 38× | 1% ±1 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 16% ±15 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 933 → 22 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,392.85 (+3.4%) | 11 | 2.0% | 13h | 1.3d ago · 67× | 7% ±4 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 88 | 1% ±0 | 7% ±4 | 17% ±10 | 32% ±19 | > 7d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 990 → 24 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,823.02 (+2.7%) | 8.2 | 2.9% | 24h | 1.5d ago · 89× | 10% ±5 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 115 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±5 | 29% ±12 | 43% ±20 | > 7d | 1.38% | 1.00% | 1022 → 24 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 77,213.19–77,284.37 (+0.6%) | 1.8 | 3.6% | 1.9d | 6.0d ago · 116× | 54% ±13 | 43% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 148 | 23% ±4 | 54% ±13 | 79% ±18 | 87% ±22 | 19h | 1.39% | 0.94% | 362 → 9 | |
| at post · 76,771.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 76,573.67–76,691.38 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 1.5% | 9h | 6.1d ago · 99× | 79% ±10 | 51% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 121 | 56% ±5 | 79% ±10 | 89% ±14 | 91% ±19 | 3h | 1.39% | 1.28% | 386 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,402.29 (-0.5%) | 1.5 | 0.6% | 2h | 19.5d ago · 37× | 72% ±16 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 42% ±7 | 73% ±16 | 87% ±21 | 91% ±27 | 7h | 1.41% | 1.29% | 173 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 73,070–74,442.12 (-3.0%) | 9.3 | 0.2% | 27m | 7.1d ago · 46× | 8% ±6 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±1 | 8% ±6 | 18% ±15 | 28% ±28 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 428 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 64,249.24–64,445.25 (-16.1%) | 49 | 0.7% | 6h | 1.8d ago · 98× | 1% ±6 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 84 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.