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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-14 08:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 80,518.65 (+3.6%) | 8.5 | 0.9% | 4h | 4.9d ago · 38× | 5% ±3 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±3 | 18% ±10 | 33% ±20 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 932 → 22 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,392.85 (+2.2%) | 5.1 | 2.7% | 17h | 1.3d ago · 67× | 22% ±7 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 88 | 3% ±1 | 22% ±7 | 46% ±15 | 62% ±22 | 3.8d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 810 → 19 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,701.95 (+1.3%) | 3.0 | 3.8% | 1.2d | 1.5d ago · 89× | 33% ±9 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 115 | 7% ±2 | 33% ±9 | 61% ±16 | 74% ±21 | 1.9d | 1.38% | 1.00% | 681 → 16 | |
| at post · 77,700 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 77,216.04–77,284.37 (-0.5%) | 1.3 | 4.8% | 2.5d | 3.6d ago · 114× | 75% ±10 | 47% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 149 | 43% ±5 | 75% ±10 | 85% ±14 | 93% ±16 | 6h | 1.30% | 0.95% | 426 → 10 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 76,617.82–76,691.38 (-1.3%) | 3.1 | 2.0% | 12h | 6.1d ago · 99× | 37% ±8 | 50% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 121 | 8% ±2 | 37% ±8 | 56% ±15 | 66% ±21 | 2.0d | 1.39% | 1.28% | 785 → 19 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,402.29 (-1.7%) | 3.9 | 0.8% | 2h | 19.5d ago · 37× | 26% ±10 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 5% ±2 | 27% ±10 | 47% ±20 | 57% ±29 | 3.6d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 447 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 73,070–74,442.12 (-4.2%) | 9.9 | 0.2% | 37m | 7.1d ago · 46× | 7% ±6 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 16% ±15 | 26% ±27 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 425 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 64,249.24–64,445.25 (-17.1%) | 40 | 0.9% | 8h | 1.8d ago · 98× | 1% ±4 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 4% ±17 | 4% ±23 | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 113 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.