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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-14 12:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 80,518.65 (+3.7%) | 7.9 | 1.0% | 4h | 4.9d ago · 38× | 6% ±4 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 0% ±0 | 6% ±4 | 20% ±11 | 35% ±20 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 890 → 21 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,392.85 (+2.2%) | 4.8 | 2.9% | 18h | 1.3d ago · 67× | 24% ±7 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 88 | 3% ±1 | 24% ±7 | 47% ±15 | 63% ±22 | 3.5d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 776 → 18 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,663.36 (+1.3%) | 2.8 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 1.4d ago · 89× | 37% ±9 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 115 | 9% ±2 | 37% ±9 | 62% ±16 | 74% ±23 | 1.8d | 1.38% | 1.00% | 605 → 14 | |
| at post · 77,663.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 77,216.04–77,284.37 (-0.5%) | 1.1 | 5.2% | 2.7d | 3.5d ago · 114× | 80% ±9 | 47% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 149 | 52% ±5 | 80% ±9 | 87% ±13 | 94% ±14 | 4h | 1.30% | 0.95% | 463 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 76,656.42–76,691.38 (-1.3%) | 2.7 | 2.2% | 13h | 6.1d ago · 99× | 42% ±9 | 51% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 122 | 11% ±2 | 42% ±9 | 60% ±15 | 68% ±22 | 1.6d | 1.40% | 1.26% | 698 → 17 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,402.29 (-1.6%) | 3.5 | 0.9% | 3h | 19.5d ago · 37× | 29% ±11 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 5% ±2 | 30% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 60% ±32 | 3.1d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 394 → 9 | |
| LVN zone | 73,070–74,442.12 (-4.1%) | 8.9 | 0.2% | 41m | 7.1d ago · 46× | 9% ±6 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±6 | 19% ±16 | 29% ±28 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 432 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 64,249.24–64,445.25 (-17.0%) | 37 | 1.0% | 10h | 1.7d ago · 98× | 2% ±6 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 8% ±20 | 8% ±30 | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 120 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.