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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-14 16:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 80,518.65 (+2.3%) | 4.4 | 1.2% | 5h | 4.9d ago · 38× | 24% ±10 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 4% ±2 | 24% ±10 | 51% ±19 | 64% ±28 | 3.0d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 463 → 11 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,392.85 (+0.8%) | 1.6 | 3.3% | 21h | 1.3d ago · 67× | 68% ±13 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 88 | 35% ±5 | 68% ±13 | 81% ±19 | 84% ±27 | 9h | 1.35% | 0.85% | 305 → 7 | |
| at post · 78,726.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 78,586.17 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 4.9% | 1.4d | 1.8d ago · 72× | 93% ±10 | 45% ±11 | 10% ±7 | 45% ±11 | 79 | 78% ±6 | 93% ±10 | 94% ±16 | 97% ±17 | 1h | 1.26% | 1.04% | 160 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 77,216.04–77,284.37 (-1.8%) | 3.5 | 5.8% | 3.0d | 3.6d ago · 114× | 35% ±10 | 47% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 149 | 7% ±2 | 35% ±10 | 60% ±19 | 74% ±25 | 2.1d | 1.30% | 0.95% | 484 → 12 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 76,656.42–76,691.38 (-2.6%) | 5.0 | 2.4% | 14h | 6.1d ago · 99× | 21% ±6 | 51% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 122 | 3% ±1 | 21% ±6 | 40% ±13 | 54% ±20 | 4.9d | 1.40% | 1.26% | 1007 → 24 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,402.29 (-3.0%) | 5.7 | 1.0% | 3h | 19.5d ago · 37× | 15% ±7 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±7 | 32% ±15 | 47% ±25 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 646 → 15 | |
| LVN zone | 73,070–74,442.12 (-5.4%) | 10 | 0.2% | 47m | 7.1d ago · 46× | 6% ±6 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±0 | 6% ±5 | 14% ±14 | 23% ±26 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 409 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 64,249.24–64,445.25 (-18.1%) | 35 | 1.1% | 12h | 1.8d ago · 98× | 2% ±6 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 9% ±20 | 11% ±35 | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 135 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.