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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-14 20:00 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,727.49 (+1.4%) | 5.3 | 4.2% | 6h | 6.6d ago · 49× | 5% ±7 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 14% ±18 | 37% ±39 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 255 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 7,691.64–7,700.22 (+0.9%) | 3.5 | 7.0% | 8h | 4.4d ago · 71× | 11% ±9 | 28% ±9 | 41% ±10 | 31% ±9 | 98 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±9 | 25% ±23 | 54% ±40 | 6.9d | 0.40% | 0.19% | 252 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 7,667.53–7,671.68 (+0.6%) | 2.3 | 12.9% | 20h | 4.6d ago · 51× | 18% ±15 | 31% ±12 | 36% ±12 | 33% ±12 | 59 | 5% ±3 | 18% ±15 | 35% ±33 | 64% ±47 | 5.0d | 0.46% | 0.26% | 148 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,651.67–7,687.48 (+0.4%) | 1.6 | 5.5% | 8h | 4.6d ago · 65× | 48% ±17 | 31% ±10 | 32% ±10 | 37% ±11 | 81 | 22% ±6 | 48% ±17 | 62% ±29 | 77% ±37 | 1.8d | 0.54% | 0.36% | 192 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAL | 7,637.23–7,639.03 (+0.2%) | 0.8 | 7.1% | 8h | 4.6d ago · 78× | 69% ±16 | 30% ±10 | 33% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 88 | 49% ±7 | 69% ±16 | 80% ±25 | 89% ±30 | 8h | 0.50% | 0.41% | 187 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,619.98 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 7,618.63 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.3% | 2h | 6.4d ago · 67× | 83% ±16 | 22% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 41% ±11 | 83 | 64% ±8 | 83% ±16 | 89% ±23 | 93% ±29 | 1h | 0.56% | 0.50% | 124 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,603.23–7,605.33 (-0.2%) | 0.7 | 2.6% | 3h | 13.5d ago · 54× | 67% ±18 | 29% ±11 | 29% ±11 | 42% ±12 | 69 | 55% ±8 | 68% ±18 | 77% ±29 | 89% ±30 | 3h | 0.51% | 0.38% | 148 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,599.5 (-0.3%) | 1.0 | 3.1% | 4h | 6.4d ago · 58× | 58% ±18 | 24% ±10 | 37% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 65 | 39% ±7 | 58% ±18 | 67% ±29 | 83% ±37 | 21h | 0.55% | 0.45% | 172 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.