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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-15 16:30 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,720.92 (+1.9%) | 6.9 | 6.2% | 10h | 6.5d ago · 49× | 3% ±6 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 7% ±15 | 31% ±40 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 205 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,699.7 (+1.6%) | 5.9 | 5.1% | 8h | 4.5d ago · 66× | 4% ±7 | 32% ±10 | 39% ±11 | 29% ±10 | 81 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 16% ±21 | 38% ±43 | > 7d | 0.44% | 0.19% | 205 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 7,667.49–7,671.88 (+1.2%) | 4.3 | 12.4% | 20h | 4.5d ago · 51× | 7% ±9 | 31% ±12 | 36% ±12 | 33% ±12 | 59 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±9 | 19% ±24 | 54% ±49 | 5.9d | 0.46% | 0.26% | 174 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,648.04 (+0.9%) | 3.3 | 5.2% | 8h | 4.3d ago · 71× | 14% ±11 | 25% ±9 | 43% ±10 | 33% ±9 | 98 | 3% ±2 | 14% ±11 | 27% ±25 | 57% ±43 | 6.8d | 0.37% | 0.20% | 215 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 7,640.27–7,644.63 (+0.8%) | 3.0 | 7.0% | 9h | 4.5d ago · 65× | 33% ±19 | 31% ±10 | 32% ±10 | 37% ±11 | 81 | 6% ±4 | 33% ±19 | 47% ±35 | 70% ±52 | 3.8d | 0.54% | 0.36% | 139 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,627.19 (+0.6%) | 2.3 | 4.7% | 5h | 5.5d ago · 32× | 46% ±31 | 31% ±16 | 26% ±15 | 43% ±17 | 32 | 14% ±9 | 46% ±31 | 61% ±55 | 76% | 1.8d | 0.58% | 0.59% | 57 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 7,609.75–7,620.65 (+0.4%) | 1.5 | 1.8% | 3h | 20.4d ago · 30× | 61% ±28 | 32% ±16 | 3% ±5 | 65% ±16 | 34 | 35% ±11 | 61% ±28 | 79% ±40 | 93% ±35 | 21h | 0.52% | 0.50% | 70 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAL | 7,587.88–7,591.1 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 3.9% | 4h | 4.5d ago · 78× | 76% ±17 | 30% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 33% ±10 | 88 | 60% ±8 | 76% ±17 | 86% ±24 | 93% ±24 | 2h | 0.52% | 0.37% | 151 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,579.66 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 7,572.69 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 0.5% | 21m | 6.3d ago · 67× | 79% ±16 | 22% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 41% ±11 | 83 | 57% ±8 | 79% ±16 | 85% ±25 | 93% ±26 | 1h | 0.56% | 0.50% | 148 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.