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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-15 19:30 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,720.92 (+1.8%) | 7.0 | 5.7% | 9h | 6.5d ago · 49× | 3% ±6 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 7% ±15 | 30% ±40 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 200 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,699.7 (+1.5%) | 5.9 | 4.6% | 7h | 4.5d ago · 66× | 4% ±6 | 32% ±10 | 39% ±11 | 29% ±10 | 81 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 15% ±20 | 38% ±42 | > 7d | 0.44% | 0.19% | 207 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 7,667.49–7,671.88 (+1.1%) | 4.2 | 11.4% | 19h | 4.5d ago · 51× | 7% ±9 | 31% ±12 | 36% ±12 | 33% ±12 | 59 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±9 | 19% ±24 | 54% ±49 | 5.9d | 0.46% | 0.26% | 176 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,641.55 (+0.7%) | 2.9 | 6.3% | 8h | 4.3d ago · 71× | 18% ±13 | 25% ±9 | 43% ±10 | 33% ±9 | 98 | 4% ±3 | 18% ±13 | 34% ±27 | 63% ±42 | 6.0d | 0.37% | 0.20% | 208 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 7,640.27–7,644.63 (+0.7%) | 2.8 | 6.4% | 8h | 4.5d ago · 65× | 34% ±19 | 31% ±10 | 32% ±10 | 37% ±11 | 81 | 6% ±4 | 34% ±19 | 49% ±35 | 71% ±51 | 3.1d | 0.54% | 0.36% | 146 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,627.19 (+0.5%) | 2.2 | 4.3% | 4h | 5.5d ago · 32× | 48% ±33 | 33% ±16 | 25% ±15 | 42% ±17 | 33 | 15% ±9 | 48% ±33 | 61% ±55 | 76% | 1.1d | 0.59% | 0.59% | 53 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 7,603.21–7,620.65 (+0.2%) | 0.9 | 2.3% | 3h | 20.4d ago · 30× | 73% ±24 | 32% ±16 | 3% ±5 | 65% ±16 | 34 | 49% ±11 | 73% ±24 | 85% ±35 | 94% ±34 | 6h | 0.52% | 0.50% | 78 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 7,585.57–7,587.82 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 5.5% | 6h | 4.5d ago · 78× | 80% ±17 | 30% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 33% ±10 | 88 | 65% ±8 | 79% ±17 | 90% ±23 | 94% ±27 | 1h | 0.52% | 0.37% | 134 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,585.51 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 7,572.69 (-0.2%) | 0.7 | 0.6% | 24m | 6.3d ago · 67× | 75% ±16 | 22% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 41% ±11 | 83 | 51% ±7 | 75% ±16 | 82% ±24 | 91% ±28 | 3h | 0.56% | 0.50% | 175 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.