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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-15 00:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 80,518.65 (+3.3%) | 5.7 | 1.3% | 5h | 4.9d ago · 38× | 14% ±7 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±6 | 34% ±15 | 49% ±24 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 660 → 16 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,392.85 (+1.9%) | 3.2 | 3.7% | 24h | 1.3d ago · 67× | 35% ±10 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 88 | 8% ±2 | 35% ±10 | 63% ±17 | 74% ±24 | 1.9d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 534 → 13 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,624.76 (+0.9%) | 1.5 | 5.4% | 1.6d | 1.5d ago · 89× | 67% ±11 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 115 | 36% ±4 | 67% ±11 | 80% ±16 | 87% ±20 | 9h | 1.38% | 1.00% | 452 → 11 | |
| at post · 77,928.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 77,216.04–77,284.37 (-0.8%) | 1.4 | 6.3% | 3.2d | 3.6d ago · 114× | 73% ±10 | 47% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 150 | 38% ±5 | 73% ±10 | 84% ±15 | 92% ±17 | 8h | 1.31% | 0.96% | 425 → 10 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 76,656.42–76,691.38 (-1.6%) | 2.7 | 2.7% | 16h | 6.2d ago · 99× | 42% ±9 | 51% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 122 | 11% ±2 | 42% ±9 | 59% ±15 | 68% ±22 | 1.6d | 1.40% | 1.26% | 706 → 17 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,402.29 (-2.0%) | 3.4 | 1.1% | 4h | 19.5d ago · 37× | 30% ±11 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 6% ±2 | 31% ±11 | 51% ±21 | 61% ±32 | 2.9d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 380 → 9 | |
| LVN zone | 73,070–74,442.12 (-4.5%) | 7.7 | 0.3% | 51m | 7.2d ago · 46× | 11% ±8 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±7 | 24% ±17 | 33% ±29 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 414 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 64,249.24–64,445.25 (-17.3%) | 30 | 1.2% | 13h | 1.8d ago · 98× | 3% ±6 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 10% ±20 | 13% ±33 | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 153 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.