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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-15 04:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,472 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 80,322.63 (+3.6%) | 6.6 | 1.3% | 6h | 5.0d ago · 38× | 9% ±5 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±5 | 27% ±13 | 42% ±23 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 771 → 18 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,392.85 (+2.4%) | 4.4 | 3.4% | 22h | 1.2d ago · 67× | 27% ±8 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 88 | 4% ±1 | 27% ±8 | 52% ±15 | 66% ±22 | 2.8d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 720 → 17 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,547.57 (+1.3%) | 2.4 | 4.9% | 1.4d | 1.2d ago · 89× | 45% ±10 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 115 | 13% ±3 | 45% ±10 | 68% ±17 | 78% ±23 | 1.4d | 1.38% | 1.00% | 535 → 13 | |
| at post · 77,537 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 77,216.04–77,284.37 (-0.3%) | 0.6 | 5.8% | 3.0d | 3.6d ago · 114× | 86% ±8 | 47% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 150 | 64% ±4 | 85% ±8 | 90% ±11 | 94% ±14 | 2h | 1.31% | 0.96% | 462 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 76,656.42–76,691.38 (-1.1%) | 2.0 | 2.5% | 15h | 6.2d ago · 99× | 53% ±10 | 51% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 122 | 18% ±3 | 52% ±10 | 69% ±17 | 75% ±24 | 22h | 1.40% | 1.26% | 531 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,402.29 (-1.5%) | 2.7 | 1.0% | 3h | 19.6d ago · 37× | 41% ±14 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 56 | 13% ±4 | 40% ±14 | 60% ±24 | 70% ±34 | 1.6d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 284 → 7 | |
| LVN zone | 73,070–74,442.12 (-4.0%) | 7.4 | 0.2% | 48m | 7.2d ago · 46× | 12% ±8 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±8 | 25% ±18 | 34% ±29 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 409 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 64,249.24–64,445.25 (-16.9%) | 31 | 1.1% | 12h | 1.8d ago · 98× | 2% ±6 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 9% ±20 | 12% ±32 | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 150 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.