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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-15 08:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 80,322.63 (+4.4%) | 7.8 | 1.3% | 7h | 4.9d ago · 38× | 6% ±4 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 1% ±0 | 6% ±4 | 20% ±11 | 36% ±20 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 884 → 21 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,392.85 (+3.2%) | 5.7 | 3.4% | 22h | 1.3d ago · 67× | 20% ±7 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 88 | 2% ±1 | 20% ±7 | 42% ±14 | 60% ±22 | 4.4d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 838 → 20 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,547.57 (+2.1%) | 3.7 | 5.0% | 1.4d | 1.5d ago · 89× | 28% ±8 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 115 | 5% ±1 | 29% ±8 | 57% ±15 | 72% ±20 | 2.2d | 1.38% | 1.00% | 795 → 19 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 77,216.04–77,284.37 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 6.0% | 3.2d | 6.0d ago · 116× | 84% ±9 | 42% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 149 | 65% ±5 | 84% ±9 | 93% ±10 | 96% ±12 | 2h | 1.38% | 0.95% | 416 → 10 | |
| at post · 76,964.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 76,656.42–76,691.38 (-0.4%) | 0.6 | 2.6% | 15h | 6.2d ago · 99× | 79% ±10 | 51% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 122 | 55% ±5 | 79% ±10 | 88% ±14 | 91% ±19 | 3h | 1.40% | 1.26% | 370 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,402.29 (-0.7%) | 1.3 | 1.0% | 3h | 19.5d ago · 37× | 77% ±16 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 56 | 49% ±8 | 77% ±16 | 88% ±21 | 92% ±27 | 5h | 1.41% | 1.28% | 166 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 73,070–74,442.12 (-3.3%) | 5.9 | 0.3% | 49m | 7.2d ago · 46× | 16% ±9 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±9 | 35% ±21 | 45% ±33 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 361 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 64,249.24–64,445.25 (-16.3%) | 29 | 1.1% | 13h | 1.8d ago · 98× | 3% ±6 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 10% ±19 | 13% ±33 | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 156 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.