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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-15 12:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 80,322.63 (+4.4%) | 8.5 | 1.2% | 6h | 5.0d ago · 38× | 5% ±3 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±3 | 18% ±10 | 33% ±20 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 932 → 22 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,392.85 (+3.2%) | 6.2 | 3.2% | 21h | 1.4d ago · 67× | 17% ±6 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 88 | 2% ±1 | 18% ±6 | 39% ±14 | 56% ±22 | 5.3d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 855 → 20 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,508.98 (+2.1%) | 4.0 | 4.6% | 1.3d | 1.5d ago · 89× | 27% ±7 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 115 | 4% ±1 | 27% ±7 | 55% ±14 | 71% ±20 | 2.3d | 1.38% | 1.00% | 842 → 20 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 77,177.45–77,284.37 (+0.3%) | 0.7 | 5.5% | 2.8d | 6.0d ago · 116× | 82% ±9 | 42% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 149 | 63% ±5 | 82% ±9 | 92% ±11 | 96% ±13 | 2h | 1.38% | 0.95% | 428 → 10 | |
| at post · 76,916.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 76,656.42–76,691.38 (-0.3%) | 0.6 | 2.4% | 15h | 6.2d ago · 99× | 80% ±10 | 51% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 122 | 56% ±5 | 80% ±10 | 89% ±14 | 92% ±19 | 3h | 1.40% | 1.26% | 351 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,402.29 (-0.7%) | 1.3 | 1.0% | 3h | 19.6d ago · 37× | 78% ±15 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 56 | 51% ±8 | 78% ±15 | 88% ±21 | 92% ±26 | 4h | 1.41% | 1.28% | 169 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 73,070–74,442.12 (-3.2%) | 6.2 | 0.2% | 46m | 7.2d ago · 46× | 15% ±9 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±9 | 33% ±20 | 43% ±32 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 377 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 64,249.24–64,445.25 (-16.2%) | 31 | 1.0% | 11h | 1.8d ago · 98× | 2% ±6 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 9% ±20 | 12% ±32 | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 152 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.