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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-15 16:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 80,322.63 (+5.2%) | 9.1 | 1.3% | 7h | 4.9d ago · 38× | 4% ±3 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 15% ±10 | 30% ±19 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 959 → 23 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,459.22 (+4.1%) | 7.1 | 3.4% | 1.0d | 1.3d ago · 67× | 14% ±5 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 88 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±6 | 33% ±13 | 50% ±21 | > 7d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 919 → 22 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,612.86 (+3.0%) | 5.2 | 5.1% | 1.5d | 1.5d ago · 89× | 19% ±6 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 116 | 2% ±1 | 19% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 61% ±20 | 3.9d | 1.41% | 1.01% | 989 → 24 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 77,207.09–77,284.37 (+1.1%) | 2.0 | 6.1% | 3.2d | 6.0d ago · 116× | 51% ±13 | 42% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 149 | 19% ±4 | 51% ±13 | 78% ±19 | 86% ±24 | 23h | 1.38% | 0.95% | 342 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 76,634.95–76,635.65 (+0.4%) | 0.7 | 2.5% | 13h | 7.2d ago · 75× | 81% ±13 | 45% ±11 | 7% ±5 | 49% ±11 | 84 | 63% ±6 | 81% ±13 | 88% ±17 | 94% ±21 | 2h | 1.47% | 1.17% | 230 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,402.29 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.3% | 5h | 20.5d ago · 35× | 89% ±16 | 42% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 48% ±15 | 45 | 77% ±9 | 89% ±16 | 95% ±19 | 95% ±30 | 1h | 1.45% | 0.92% | 81 → 2 | |
| at post · 76,352.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 73,070–74,442.12 (-2.5%) | 4.4 | 0.3% | 49m | 7.2d ago · 46× | 26% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 5% ±2 | 26% ±12 | 50% ±24 | 64% ±35 | 3.0d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 301 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.