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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-15 20:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,472 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 80,322.63 (+5.8%) | 8.0 | 1.6% | 8h | 5.2d ago · 38× | 6% ±4 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 0% ±0 | 6% ±4 | 19% ±11 | 34% ±20 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 902 → 21 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,554.64 (+4.8%) | 6.6 | 4.2% | 1.7d | 1.4d ago · 67× | 16% ±6 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 89 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±6 | 37% ±13 | 54% ±21 | 5.9d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 886 → 21 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,721.21 (+3.7%) | 5.1 | 6.4% | 2.2d | 1.3d ago · 89× | 20% ±6 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 116 | 2% ±1 | 20% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 61% ±20 | 3.8d | 1.41% | 1.01% | 985 → 23 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 77,211.34–77,284.37 (+1.7%) | 2.4 | 7.5% | 3.9d | 6.2d ago · 116× | 46% ±12 | 42% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 149 | 14% ±3 | 47% ±12 | 76% ±18 | 84% ±24 | 1.2d | 1.38% | 0.95% | 384 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 76,592.54–76,605.28 (+0.9%) | 1.3 | 3.0% | 15h | 7.4d ago · 75× | 70% ±14 | 45% ±11 | 7% ±5 | 49% ±11 | 84 | 42% ±6 | 70% ±14 | 82% ±20 | 90% ±24 | 9h | 1.47% | 1.17% | 265 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,206.27 (+0.4%) | 0.6 | 1.4% | 5h | 20.7d ago · 35× | 83% ±17 | 42% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 48% ±15 | 45 | 63% ±9 | 83% ±17 | 95% ±18 | 96% ±21 | 2h | 1.45% | 0.92% | 110 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 76,206.27–81,106.7 (+0.4%) | 0.6 | 1.4% | 5h | 2.0d ago · 78× | 88% ±9 | 53% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 26% ±8 | 116 | 67% ±5 | 88% ±9 | 94% ±11 | 96% ±13 | 2h | 1.54% | 1.13% | 341 → 8 | |
| at post · 75,900 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 73,070–74,246.1 (-2.2%) | 3.0 | 0.2% | 26m | 7.4d ago · 46× | 40% ±16 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 12% ±4 | 40% ±16 | 66% ±27 | 82% ±34 | 1.8d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 216 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.