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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-16 00:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 80,355.34 (+6.1%) | 8.1 | 1.7% | 8h | 4.9d ago · 38× | 6% ±4 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±4 | 19% ±11 | 34% ±20 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 910 → 22 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,628.38 (+5.1%) | 6.9 | 4.3% | 1.9d | 1.3d ago · 67× | 15% ±6 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 89 | 1% ±1 | 15% ±6 | 35% ±13 | 52% ±21 | 6.3d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 902 → 21 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,820.22 (+4.1%) | 5.4 | 6.8% | 2.3d | 1.5d ago · 89× | 18% ±6 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 116 | 2% ±1 | 18% ±6 | 43% ±13 | 59% ±20 | 4.5d | 1.41% | 1.01% | 1017 → 24 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 77,175.03–77,232.02 (+1.9%) | 2.5 | 7.7% | 3.8d | 6.0d ago · 116× | 44% ±12 | 42% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 149 | 12% ±3 | 44% ±12 | 73% ±19 | 82% ±24 | 1.3d | 1.38% | 0.95% | 401 → 10 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 76,592.54–76,605.28 (+1.1%) | 1.5 | 3.1% | 15h | 7.2d ago · 75× | 62% ±15 | 45% ±11 | 7% ±5 | 49% ±11 | 84 | 30% ±6 | 62% ±15 | 76% ±22 | 86% ±28 | 14h | 1.47% | 1.17% | 248 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,307.67 (+0.8%) | 1.0 | 1.7% | 5h | 20.5d ago · 35× | 79% ±17 | 42% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 48% ±15 | 45 | 54% ±8 | 79% ±17 | 94% ±17 | 96% ±23 | 4h | 1.45% | 0.92% | 140 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 76,307.67–81,126.32 (+0.8%) | 1.0 | 1.7% | 5h | 1.8d ago · 78× | 82% ±9 | 53% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 26% ±8 | 116 | 58% ±5 | 82% ±9 | 91% ±12 | 94% ±14 | 3h | 1.54% | 1.13% | 429 → 10 | |
| at post · 75,734 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 73,223.74–74,380.21 (-1.8%) | 2.4 | 0.3% | 52m | 7.2d ago · 46× | 46% ±17 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 16% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 72% ±26 | 85% ±31 | 1.3d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 191 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.