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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-16 05:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,472 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 80,189.74 (+5.6%) | 7.2 | 1.7% | 11h | 5.2d ago · 38× | 7% ±4 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±4 | 22% ±12 | 37% ±21 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 851 → 20 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,628.38 (+4.9%) | 6.2 | 4.5% | 2.0d | 1.4d ago · 67× | 18% ±6 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 89 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±6 | 39% ±14 | 57% ±22 | 5.3d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 860 → 20 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,721.21 (+3.7%) | 4.7 | 7.0% | 2.3d | 1.3d ago · 89× | 22% ±6 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 116 | 3% ±1 | 22% ±6 | 49% ±13 | 65% ±20 | 3.1d | 1.41% | 1.01% | 963 → 23 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 77,211.34–77,240.43 (+1.7%) | 2.2 | 8.1% | 4.1d | 6.2d ago · 116× | 49% ±13 | 42% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 149 | 17% ±4 | 49% ±13 | 78% ±18 | 85% ±23 | 1.1d | 1.38% | 0.95% | 366 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 76,493.53–76,605.28 (+0.7%) | 1.0 | 2.5% | 11h | 7.4d ago · 75× | 75% ±12 | 45% ±11 | 7% ±5 | 49% ±11 | 84 | 52% ±6 | 75% ±12 | 85% ±18 | 91% ±21 | 4h | 1.47% | 1.17% | 276 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,193.9 (+0.4%) | 0.5 | 1.5% | 5h | 20.7d ago · 35× | 83% ±18 | 42% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 48% ±15 | 45 | 64% ±9 | 83% ±18 | 94% ±19 | 96% ±27 | 2h | 1.45% | 0.92% | 104 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 76,193.9–80,380.02 (+0.4%) | 0.5 | 1.5% | 5h | 2.0d ago · 78× | 89% ±8 | 53% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 26% ±8 | 116 | 69% ±5 | 89% ±8 | 94% ±11 | 96% ±14 | 1h | 1.54% | 1.13% | 323 → 8 | |
| at post · 75,925.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 73,149.46–74,291.12 (-2.2%) | 2.7 | 0.2% | 36m | 7.4d ago · 46× | 41% ±16 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 14% ±5 | 41% ±16 | 69% ±26 | 83% ±33 | 1.6d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 209 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.