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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-16 09:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,472 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 80,207.07 (+5.6%) | 7.2 | 1.7% | 10h | 5.0d ago · 38× | 7% ±4 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±4 | 22% ±12 | 37% ±21 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 852 → 20 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,702.11 (+4.9%) | 6.4 | 4.2% | 2.0d | 1.2d ago · 67× | 17% ±6 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 89 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±6 | 38% ±14 | 56% ±21 | 5.4d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 874 → 21 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,721.21 (+3.6%) | 4.7 | 6.9% | 2.3d | 1.2d ago · 89× | 22% ±6 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 116 | 3% ±1 | 22% ±6 | 49% ±13 | 65% ±20 | 3.1d | 1.41% | 1.01% | 962 → 23 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 77,211.34–77,282.17 (+1.6%) | 2.1 | 8.1% | 4.1d | 6.1d ago · 116× | 49% ±13 | 42% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 149 | 17% ±4 | 49% ±13 | 78% ±18 | 85% ±23 | 1.0d | 1.38% | 0.95% | 363 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 76,244.3–76,605.28 (+0.4%) | 0.5 | 1.5% | 5h | 7.2d ago · 75× | 77% ±12 | 44% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 48% ±11 | 84 | 55% ±6 | 76% ±12 | 87% ±17 | 92% ±21 | 4h | 1.47% | 1.11% | 271 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 76,244.3–80,961.88 (+0.4%) | 0.5 | 1.5% | 5h | 1.9d ago · 78× | 88% ±9 | 53% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 26% ±8 | 116 | 68% ±5 | 88% ±9 | 94% ±11 | 96% ±13 | 2h | 1.54% | 1.13% | 332 → 8 | |
| at post · 75,959.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 73,225.06–74,168.57 (-2.4%) | 3.1 | 0.2% | 18m | 7.2d ago · 46× | 39% ±16 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 12% ±4 | 39% ±16 | 66% ±27 | 81% ±34 | 1.8d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 218 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.