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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-16 13:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 80,247.42 (+6.1%) | 8.2 | 1.7% | 9h | 4.9d ago · 38× | 5% ±4 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±4 | 19% ±11 | 33% ±20 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 914 → 22 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,775.84 (+5.5%) | 7.3 | 3.8% | 1.8d | 1.3d ago · 67× | 13% ±5 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 89 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±5 | 31% ±13 | 48% ±21 | > 7d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 931 → 22 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,671.7 (+4.0%) | 5.4 | 6.6% | 2.1d | 1.5d ago · 89× | 18% ±6 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 116 | 2% ±1 | 18% ±6 | 43% ±13 | 59% ±20 | 4.5d | 1.41% | 1.01% | 1022 → 24 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 77,194.34–77,232.02 (+2.1%) | 2.8 | 7.8% | 3.9d | 6.0d ago · 116× | 42% ±11 | 43% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 150 | 11% ±3 | 42% ±11 | 71% ±18 | 81% ±23 | 1.3d | 1.39% | 0.94% | 442 → 11 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 76,361.68–76,679.02 (+1.0%) | 1.3 | 1.8% | 6h | 7.1d ago · 75× | 61% ±15 | 44% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 48% ±11 | 84 | 27% ±6 | 61% ±15 | 78% ±22 | 87% ±26 | 16h | 1.47% | 1.11% | 245 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 76,176.65–80,802.52 (+0.7%) | 1.0 | 1.5% | 6h | 1.8d ago · 78× | 81% ±9 | 53% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 26% ±8 | 116 | 58% ±5 | 82% ±9 | 91% ±11 | 94% ±14 | 3h | 1.54% | 1.13% | 429 → 10 | |
| at post · 75,615.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 73,216.09–74,141.26 (-1.9%) | 2.6 | 0.2% | 14m | 7.1d ago · 46× | 42% ±17 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 15% ±5 | 42% ±17 | 70% ±27 | 84% ±32 | 1.5d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 205 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.