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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-16 17:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 79,849.58–80,086.37 (+5.4%) | 8.3 | 2.9% | 1.4d | 1.3d ago · 67× | 8% ±4 | 51% ±10 | 8% ±6 | 41% ±10 | 89 | 1% ±0 | 8% ±4 | 22% ±11 | 37% ±20 | > 7d | 1.31% | 1.04% | 976 → 23 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,572.7 (+3.7%) | 5.7 | 5.6% | 1.7d | 1.4d ago · 89× | 17% ±6 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 116 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±6 | 41% ±13 | 57% ±19 | 5.1d | 1.41% | 1.01% | 1053 → 25 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 77,211.34–77,249.31 (+1.9%) | 3.0 | 7.0% | 3.6d | 5.9d ago · 116× | 40% ±11 | 43% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 150 | 9% ±3 | 40% ±11 | 70% ±18 | 80% ±23 | 1.4d | 1.39% | 0.94% | 460 → 11 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 76,242.61–76,679.02 (+0.7%) | 1.0 | 1.4% | 5h | 7.1d ago · 75× | 65% ±14 | 44% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 48% ±11 | 84 | 35% ±6 | 65% ±14 | 81% ±20 | 89% ±25 | 13h | 1.47% | 1.11% | 263 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 75,876.54–80,452.44 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 1.5% | 12h | 1.8d ago · 78× | 89% ±9 | 53% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 26% ±8 | 116 | 73% ±5 | 89% ±9 | 94% ±12 | 95% ±15 | 1h | 1.54% | 1.13% | 290 → 7 | |
| at post · 75,747.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 73,131–74,229.22 (-2.0%) | 3.1 | 0.2% | 21m | 7.1d ago · 46× | 39% ±16 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 12% ±4 | 38% ±16 | 65% ±27 | 80% ±35 | 1.8d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 221 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.