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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-16 21:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,472 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 79,923.31–80,086.37 (+5.2%) | 8.7 | 2.3% | 1.1d | 1.2d ago · 67× | 8% ±4 | 51% ±10 | 8% ±6 | 41% ±10 | 89 | 1% ±0 | 8% ±4 | 20% ±11 | 36% ±19 | > 7d | 1.31% | 1.04% | 989 → 24 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,523.19 (+3.4%) | 5.6 | 5.1% | 1.5d | 1.2d ago · 89× | 17% ±6 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 116 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±6 | 42% ±13 | 58% ±19 | 5.0d | 1.41% | 1.01% | 1045 → 25 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 77,158.29–77,249.31 (+1.6%) | 2.7 | 6.2% | 3.0d | 6.1d ago · 116× | 42% ±11 | 43% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 150 | 11% ±3 | 42% ±11 | 72% ±18 | 82% ±24 | 1.3d | 1.39% | 0.94% | 440 → 10 | |
| 14D VAL | 76,605.28 (+0.9%) | 1.5 | 2.7% | 13h | 20.3d ago · 50× | 56% ±17 | 43% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 52% ±13 | 57 | 25% ±6 | 57% ±16 | 75% ±24 | 88% ±28 | 18h | 1.51% | 1.34% | 207 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 76,059.58–76,147 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 1.4% | 8h | 7.2d ago · 75× | 86% ±12 | 45% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 47% ±11 | 85 | 71% ±6 | 86% ±11 | 93% ±15 | 96% ±18 | 1h | 1.50% | 0.99% | 208 → 5 | |
| at post · 75,938.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 73,131–74,229.22 (-2.3%) | 3.7 | 0.2% | 19m | 7.2d ago · 46× | 30% ±13 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 6% ±3 | 29% ±13 | 54% ±25 | 69% ±37 | 2.5d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 266 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.