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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-17 01:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 79,923.31–80,086.37 (+4.7%) | 7.8 | 2.3% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 67× | 9% ±4 | 51% ±10 | 8% ±6 | 41% ±10 | 89 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±4 | 24% ±11 | 39% ±20 | > 7d | 1.31% | 1.04% | 945 → 23 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,077.66 (+2.3%) | 3.8 | 4.6% | 1.6d | 1.5d ago · 89× | 28% ±8 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 116 | 4% ±1 | 28% ±8 | 56% ±14 | 71% ±20 | 2.2d | 1.41% | 1.01% | 817 → 19 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 77,158.29–77,249.31 (+1.1%) | 1.8 | 6.2% | 3.0d | 6.0d ago · 116× | 54% ±13 | 43% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 150 | 23% ±4 | 54% ±13 | 80% ±18 | 87% ±22 | 20h | 1.39% | 0.94% | 358 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 76,531.55 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 2.3% | 10h | 20.2d ago · 50× | 81% ±18 | 43% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 52% ±13 | 57 | 63% ±9 | 82% ±17 | 89% ±25 | 96% ±21 | 2h | 1.51% | 1.34% | 112 → 3 | |
| at post · 76,334.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 76,059.58 (-0.4%) | 0.6 | 1.5% | 8h | 19.6d ago · 37× | 86% ±13 | 45% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 57 | 66% ±7 | 86% ±13 | 93% ±16 | 96% ±20 | 2h | 1.41% | 1.29% | 164 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 75,800.47 (-0.7%) | 1.2 | 1.7% | 13h | 6.2d ago · 99× | 70% ±10 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 41% ±4 | 70% ±10 | 84% ±14 | 88% ±20 | 7h | 1.47% | 1.25% | 472 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 73,131–74,229.22 (-2.8%) | 4.6 | 0.2% | 19m | 7.2d ago · 46× | 24% ±11 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 4% ±2 | 23% ±11 | 48% ±23 | 62% ±34 | 3.5d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 321 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.