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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-16 08:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 2,548.58 (+6.1%) | 6.0 | 1.1% | 4h | 1.1d ago · 97× | 18% ±6 | 53% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 118 | 2% ±1 | 18% ±6 | 37% ±12 | 55% ±19 | 5.6d | 2.28% | 1.61% | 1081 → 26 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,533.09–2,535.43 (+5.5%) | 5.3 | 2.6% | 17h | 1.7d ago · 69× | 18% ±7 | 53% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 40% ±10 | 90 | 2% ±1 | 18% ±7 | 38% ±14 | 60% ±22 | 4.8d | 2.05% | 1.30% | 789 → 19 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,505.73–2,513.05 (+4.3%) | 4.2 | 8.4% | 2.8d | 3.1d ago · 103× | 23% ±9 | 41% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 140 | 3% ±2 | 23% ±9 | 44% ±19 | 60% ±28 | 4.6d | 1.94% | 1.35% | 487 → 12 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,428.07–2,429.73 (+1.1%) | 1.1 | 4.6% | 1.3d | 4.3d ago · 56× | 79% ±14 | 43% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 47% ±12 | 70 | 53% ±7 | 78% ±14 | 83% ±22 | 86% ±30 | 3h | 1.81% | 1.69% | 206 → 5 | |
| at post · 2,401.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 2,392.37 (-0.4%) | 0.4 | 3.8% | 23h | 20.1d ago · 30× | 80% ±19 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 58% ±9 | 81% ±18 | 85% ±28 | 87% ±38 | 2h | 2.94% | 1.38% | 107 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 2,126.56–2,212.56 (-7.9%) | 7.7 | 0.1% | 6m | 13.5d ago · 46× | 6% ±5 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 15% ±13 | 23% ±24 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 495 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 1,899.84–1,915.47 (-20.2%) | 20 | 1.6% | 22h | 1.8d ago · 84× | 2% ±4 | 48% ±9 | 23% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 132 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 8% ±14 | 10% ±22 | > 7d | 1.91% | 1.51% | 280 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.