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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-16 12:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 2,533.09–2,545.49 (+5.3%) | 5.0 | 2.7% | 18h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 21% ±6 | 53% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 41% ±9 | 118 | 3% ±1 | 20% ±6 | 40% ±13 | 61% ±19 | 4.5d | 2.15% | 1.43% | 1067 → 25 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,505.73–2,513.05 (+4.2%) | 4.0 | 8.6% | 2.9d | 3.1d ago · 103× | 25% ±9 | 41% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 140 | 4% ±2 | 25% ±9 | 46% ±19 | 62% ±27 | 4.0d | 1.94% | 1.35% | 488 → 12 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,418.8–2,431.16 (+0.5%) | 0.5 | 5.0% | 1.4d | 4.3d ago · 56× | 85% ±13 | 43% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 47% ±12 | 70 | 62% ±7 | 85% ±13 | 89% ±19 | 90% ±29 | 2h | 1.81% | 1.69% | 175 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,405.66 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 2,392.37 (-0.6%) | 0.5 | 3.9% | 1.0d | 20.2d ago · 30× | 77% ±19 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 56% ±9 | 78% ±18 | 83% ±28 | 85% ±40 | 3h | 2.94% | 1.38% | 121 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 2,126.56–2,212.56 (-8.0%) | 7.7 | 0.1% | 7m | 13.5d ago · 46× | 7% ±5 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±5 | 15% ±13 | 23% ±24 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 490 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 1,907.65–1,915.47 (-20.4%) | 19 | 1.6% | 22h | 1.8d ago · 84× | 2% ±4 | 48% ±9 | 23% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 132 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 8% ±13 | 10% ±22 | > 7d | 1.91% | 1.51% | 286 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.