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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-16 16:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 2,545.49 (+6.5%) | 7.4 | 1.1% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 12% ±5 | 53% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 118 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±5 | 29% ±12 | 45% ±20 | > 7d | 2.28% | 1.61% | 1034 → 25 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,525.28–2,533.13 (+5.6%) | 6.4 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 1.8d ago · 69× | 13% ±5 | 53% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 40% ±10 | 90 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±5 | 31% ±13 | 52% ±20 | 6.2d | 2.05% | 1.30% | 957 → 23 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,505.73–2,513.05 (+4.8%) | 5.5 | 7.1% | 2.4d | 3.2d ago · 103× | 15% ±8 | 41% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 140 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±8 | 34% ±18 | 51% ±28 | 5.6d | 1.94% | 1.35% | 490 → 12 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,431.16 (+1.7%) | 1.9 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 20.1d ago · 46× | 59% ±19 | 41% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 49% ±13 | 56 | 20% ±6 | 60% ±19 | 70% ±30 | 74% ±43 | 17h | 2.00% | 1.86% | 157 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,409.53 (+0.8%) | 0.9 | 4.2% | 1.2d | 4.3d ago · 56× | 86% ±12 | 45% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 45% ±12 | 70 | 65% ±6 | 86% ±11 | 89% ±17 | 93% ±22 | 2h | 1.65% | 1.55% | 208 → 5 | |
| at post · 2,390.71 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 2,384.55 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 2.7% | 14h | 20.2d ago · 30× | 82% ±19 | 53% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 44 | 61% ±10 | 83% ±18 | 86% ±28 | 88% ±45 | 2h | 2.88% | 1.38% | 99 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 2,126.56–2,212.56 (-7.5%) | 8.5 | <0.1% | 5m | 13.6d ago · 46× | 5% ±4 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±4 | 12% ±11 | 19% ±21 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 539 → 13 | |
| HVN zone | 1,907.65–1,915.47 (-19.9%) | 23 | 1.3% | 19h | 1.8d ago · 84× | 1% ±3 | 48% ±9 | 23% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 132 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±13 | 7% ±20 | > 7d | 1.91% | 1.51% | 247 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.