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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-16 20:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 2,536.22–2,539.31 (+5.2%) | 6.3 | 1.8% | 13h | 1.3d ago · 97× | 15% ±5 | 55% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 118 | 1% ±1 | 15% ±5 | 35% ±12 | 54% ±19 | 6.0d | 2.24% | 1.42% | 1096 → 26 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,525.28 (+4.8%) | 5.7 | 3.0% | 1.1d | 18.8d ago · 44× | 16% ±7 | 45% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 62 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±7 | 32% ±16 | 54% ±25 | 6.0d | 1.82% | 1.48% | 610 → 15 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,505.73–2,513.05 (+4.0%) | 4.8 | 6.7% | 2.3d | 3.4d ago · 103× | 19% ±8 | 41% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 140 | 3% ±1 | 19% ±8 | 38% ±18 | 55% ±28 | 5.1d | 1.94% | 1.35% | 505 → 12 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,428.07 (+0.7%) | 0.9 | 3.8% | 1.0d | 20.3d ago · 46× | 81% ±15 | 42% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 48% ±13 | 57 | 54% ±8 | 81% ±15 | 86% ±23 | 86% ±34 | 3h | 2.03% | 1.79% | 160 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,410.03 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,400.26 (-0.4%) | 0.5 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 4.4d ago · 84× | 84% ±10 | 56% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 118 | 64% ±5 | 84% ±10 | 90% ±14 | 93% ±19 | 2h | 2.27% | 1.35% | 312 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,384.55 (-1.1%) | 1.3 | 2.8% | 14h | 20.4d ago · 30× | 66% ±17 | 53% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 44 | 40% ±7 | 67% ±17 | 74% ±27 | 77% ±41 | 8h | 2.88% | 1.38% | 187 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 2,126.56–2,212.56 (-8.2%) | 9.8 | <0.1% | 5m | 13.8d ago · 46× | 3% ±4 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±4 | 8% ±10 | 16% ±19 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 594 → 14 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.