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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-17 04:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 2,545.49 (+4.3%) | 4.9 | 1.1% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 25% ±7 | 53% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 118 | 3% ±1 | 25% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 65% ±19 | 3.6d | 2.28% | 1.61% | 1018 → 24 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,526.78–2,526.95 (+3.5%) | 4.0 | 3.0% | 1.0d | 1.8d ago · 69× | 29% ±9 | 53% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 40% ±10 | 90 | 6% ±2 | 29% ±9 | 51% ±17 | 71% ±24 | 3.0d | 2.05% | 1.30% | 585 → 14 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,507.45–2,513.05 (+2.7%) | 3.1 | 7.3% | 2.5d | 3.1d ago · 103× | 35% ±11 | 41% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 140 | 8% ±2 | 35% ±11 | 56% ±19 | 70% ±27 | 2.1d | 1.94% | 1.35% | 468 → 11 | |
| at post · 2,441 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 2,418.8 (-0.9%) | 1.0 | 4.6% | 1.3d | 4.3d ago · 58× | 67% ±13 | 47% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 76 | 46% ±6 | 67% ±13 | 74% ±20 | 82% ±27 | 5h | 2.10% | 1.76% | 315 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,403.35 (-1.5%) | 1.8 | 4.4% | 1.3d | 4.1d ago · 84× | 54% ±11 | 56% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 118 | 26% ±4 | 54% ±11 | 73% ±17 | 81% ±22 | 18h | 2.27% | 1.35% | 485 → 12 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,387.57 (-2.2%) | 2.5 | 3.4% | 19h | 20.2d ago · 30× | 37% ±14 | 53% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 44 | 11% ±4 | 37% ±13 | 52% ±24 | 60% ±36 | 2.6d | 2.88% | 1.38% | 298 → 7 | |
| LVN zone | 2,124.61–2,209.68 (-9.5%) | 11 | <0.1% | 4m | 13.5d ago · 46× | 2% ±3 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±8 | 14% ±17 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 624 → 15 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.