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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-17 08:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 2,539.31 (+3.9%) | 4.6 | 1.5% | 9h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 26% ±7 | 53% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 118 | 4% ±1 | 26% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 67% ±19 | 3.3d | 2.28% | 1.61% | 1008 → 24 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,526.87–2,526.95 (+3.4%) | 4.0 | 2.8% | 23h | 1.7d ago · 69× | 29% ±9 | 53% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 40% ±10 | 90 | 6% ±2 | 29% ±9 | 50% ±17 | 71% ±24 | 3.0d | 2.05% | 1.30% | 587 → 14 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,507.55–2,513.05 (+2.6%) | 3.1 | 6.9% | 2.4d | 3.1d ago · 103× | 36% ±11 | 41% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 140 | 8% ±2 | 35% ±11 | 57% ±19 | 70% ±27 | 2.0d | 1.94% | 1.35% | 466 → 11 | |
| at post · 2,444.49 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 2,421.89 (-0.9%) | 1.1 | 4.3% | 1.2d | 4.3d ago · 58× | 65% ±13 | 47% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 76 | 44% ±5 | 65% ±13 | 73% ±20 | 81% ±27 | 6h | 2.10% | 1.76% | 320 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,400.26 (-1.8%) | 2.2 | 4.1% | 1.2d | 4.1d ago · 84× | 46% ±10 | 56% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 118 | 17% ±3 | 46% ±10 | 67% ±17 | 76% ±23 | 1.3d | 2.27% | 1.35% | 551 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,387.75 (-2.3%) | 2.8 | 3.2% | 18h | 20.2d ago · 30× | 32% ±12 | 53% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 44 | 9% ±3 | 32% ±12 | 47% ±22 | 54% ±35 | 3.8d | 2.88% | 1.38% | 339 → 8 | |
| LVN zone | 2,124.95–2,209.97 (-9.6%) | 11 | <0.1% | 4m | 13.5d ago · 46× | 2% ±3 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±7 | 12% ±16 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 624 → 15 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.