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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-17 12:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 2,545.49 (+3.5%) | 4.1 | 1.1% | 5h | 1.1d ago · 97× | 29% ±7 | 53% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 118 | 5% ±1 | 29% ±7 | 51% ±13 | 71% ±18 | 2.9d | 2.28% | 1.61% | 962 → 23 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 2,526.95–2,527.43 (+2.8%) | 3.2 | 2.9% | 24h | 1.7d ago · 69× | 38% ±11 | 53% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 40% ±10 | 90 | 9% ±3 | 38% ±11 | 59% ±20 | 76% ±26 | 1.8d | 2.05% | 1.30% | 430 → 10 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,509.96–2,513.05 (+2.1%) | 2.4 | 6.8% | 2.4d | 3.1d ago · 103× | 48% ±12 | 42% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 140 | 13% ±3 | 48% ±12 | 68% ±19 | 77% ±26 | 1.1d | 2.03% | 1.38% | 408 → 10 | |
| 30D POC | 2,485.09 (+1.1%) | 1.3 | 6.5% | 2.4d | 3.4d ago · 66× | 78% ±12 | 40% ±11 | 12% ±7 | 48% ±11 | 82 | 50% ±6 | 78% ±12 | 92% ±14 | 95% ±17 | 4h | 1.67% | 1.25% | 266 → 6 | |
| at post · 2,458.83 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 2,428.07 (-1.3%) | 1.5 | 4.2% | 1.2d | 4.3d ago · 58× | 56% ±13 | 47% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 76 | 31% ±5 | 56% ±13 | 68% ±21 | 78% ±29 | 13h | 2.10% | 1.76% | 337 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,403.35 (-2.3%) | 2.6 | 4.3% | 1.3d | 4.1d ago · 84× | 40% ±9 | 56% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 118 | 12% ±2 | 40% ±9 | 62% ±15 | 71% ±22 | 1.6d | 2.27% | 1.35% | 696 → 17 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,388.86 (-2.8%) | 3.3 | 3.4% | 20h | 20.1d ago · 30× | 27% ±10 | 53% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 44 | 7% ±2 | 27% ±10 | 42% ±20 | 51% ±31 | 6.5d | 2.88% | 1.38% | 433 → 10 | |
| LVN zone | 2,127.13–2,211.81 (-10.0%) | 12 | <0.1% | 5m | 13.5d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±6 | 11% ±16 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 626 → 15 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.