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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-17 16:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 2,545.49 (+3.1%) | 3.3 | 1.2% | 6h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 37% ±8 | 53% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 118 | 7% ±2 | 37% ±8 | 60% ±14 | 79% ±18 | 1.7d | 2.28% | 1.61% | 835 → 20 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,509.96–2,526.95 (+1.6%) | 1.8 | 7.4% | 2.6d | 1.8d ago · 103× | 56% ±12 | 46% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 45% ±8 | 140 | 22% ±4 | 56% ±12 | 73% ±19 | 83% ±24 | 19h | 2.04% | 1.35% | 368 → 9 | |
| 30D POC | 2,487.21 (+0.7%) | 0.8 | 7.3% | 2.6d | 3.5d ago · 66× | 84% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 12% ±7 | 48% ±11 | 82 | 66% ±6 | 84% ±11 | 93% ±13 | 96% ±16 | 2h | 1.67% | 1.25% | 272 → 6 | |
| at post · 2,469.59 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 2,428.07 (-1.7%) | 1.8 | 4.5% | 1.3d | 4.3d ago · 58× | 48% ±13 | 47% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 76 | 22% ±4 | 48% ±12 | 64% ±21 | 76% ±28 | 1.3d | 2.10% | 1.76% | 369 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,403.35 (-2.7%) | 2.9 | 4.7% | 1.4d | 4.2d ago · 84× | 37% ±8 | 56% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 118 | 9% ±2 | 37% ±8 | 60% ±15 | 69% ±21 | 1.8d | 2.27% | 1.35% | 756 → 18 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,384.5 (-3.4%) | 3.7 | 3.3% | 16h | 20.2d ago · 30× | 24% ±9 | 53% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 44 | 5% ±2 | 23% ±9 | 39% ±18 | 48% ±28 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.38% | 486 → 12 | |
| LVN zone | 2,125.83–2,209.52 (-10.5%) | 11 | <0.1% | 5m | 13.6d ago · 46× | 2% ±3 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±7 | 12% ±16 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 626 → 15 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.