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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-17 20:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 2,545.49 (+3.8%) | 4.9 | 1.0% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 97× | 24% ±6 | 53% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 118 | 3% ±1 | 24% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 64% ±19 | 3.6d | 2.28% | 1.61% | 1027 → 24 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,509.96–2,530.04 (+2.3%) | 3.0 | 6.2% | 2.2d | 2.2d ago · 103× | 33% ±9 | 46% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 45% ±8 | 140 | 7% ±2 | 32% ±9 | 55% ±17 | 71% ±24 | 2.4d | 2.04% | 1.35% | 607 → 14 | |
| 30D POC | 2,487.21 (+1.4%) | 1.8 | 6.0% | 2.2d | 3.9d ago · 66× | 60% ±16 | 40% ±11 | 12% ±7 | 48% ±11 | 82 | 25% ±6 | 60% ±16 | 81% ±22 | 88% ±28 | 16h | 1.67% | 1.25% | 222 → 5 | |
| at post · 2,452.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 2,428.07 (-1.0%) | 1.3 | 3.6% | 1.1d | 4.7d ago · 58× | 61% ±13 | 47% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 76 | 36% ±5 | 61% ±13 | 71% ±20 | 79% ±28 | 9h | 2.10% | 1.76% | 342 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,403.35 (-2.0%) | 2.6 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 4.5d ago · 84× | 40% ±9 | 56% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 118 | 12% ±2 | 40% ±9 | 63% ±15 | 71% ±22 | 1.6d | 2.27% | 1.35% | 688 → 16 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,384.5 (-2.8%) | 3.6 | 2.7% | 13h | 20.6d ago · 30× | 25% ±10 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 5% ±2 | 24% ±10 | 40% ±19 | 49% ±30 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 466 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 2,125.83–2,209.52 (-9.9%) | 13 | <0.1% | 4m | 13.9d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±5 | 8% ±14 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 618 → 15 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.