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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-18 00:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 2,545.49 (+4.0%) | 5.7 | 1.0% | 4h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 20% ±6 | 53% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 118 | 2% ±1 | 20% ±6 | 39% ±12 | 57% ±19 | 5.1d | 2.28% | 1.61% | 1077 → 26 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,509.96–2,530.04 (+2.6%) | 3.6 | 5.7% | 2.0d | 1.9d ago · 103× | 26% ±8 | 46% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 45% ±8 | 140 | 4% ±1 | 26% ±8 | 47% ±16 | 66% ±23 | 3.3d | 2.04% | 1.35% | 710 → 17 | |
| 30D POC | 2,487.21 (+1.6%) | 2.3 | 5.4% | 2.0d | 3.6d ago · 66× | 50% ±16 | 40% ±11 | 12% ±7 | 48% ±11 | 82 | 16% ±5 | 50% ±16 | 72% ±24 | 83% ±30 | 1.0d | 1.67% | 1.25% | 235 → 6 | |
| at post · 2,447.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 2,428.07 (-0.8%) | 1.1 | 3.3% | 23h | 4.4d ago · 58× | 65% ±13 | 47% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 76 | 44% ±5 | 65% ±13 | 73% ±20 | 81% ±27 | 6h | 2.10% | 1.76% | 324 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,403.35 (-1.8%) | 2.5 | 3.5% | 1.0d | 4.3d ago · 84× | 41% ±9 | 57% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 119 | 13% ±3 | 41% ±9 | 63% ±15 | 72% ±22 | 1.5d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 675 → 16 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,384.5 (-2.6%) | 3.6 | 2.5% | 12h | 20.3d ago · 30× | 24% ±10 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 5% ±2 | 24% ±9 | 39% ±19 | 49% ±30 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 471 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 2,125.83–2,209.52 (-9.7%) | 14 | <0.1% | 4m | 13.6d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±14 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 606 → 14 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.