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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-18 04:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 2,545.49 (+2.6%) | 3.8 | 0.9% | 4h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 31% ±7 | 53% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 118 | 5% ±1 | 31% ±7 | 54% ±14 | 74% ±18 | 2.5d | 2.28% | 1.61% | 918 → 22 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,530.04 (+1.9%) | 2.9 | 2.0% | 14h | 1.8d ago · 69× | 49% ±12 | 58% ±10 | 5% ±5 | 37% ±10 | 90 | 17% ±4 | 48% ±12 | 67% ±20 | 82% ±25 | 1.1d | 2.20% | 1.17% | 390 → 9 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,521.46 (+1.6%) | 2.4 | 3.1% | 1.2d | 18.6d ago · 44× | 43% ±15 | 45% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 62 | 13% ±4 | 43% ±15 | 64% ±24 | 80% ±32 | 1.5d | 1.82% | 1.48% | 265 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 2,513.05 (+1.3%) | 1.9 | 5.0% | 1.8d | 3.2d ago · 103× | 58% ±12 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±5 | 45% ±8 | 140 | 23% ±4 | 58% ±12 | 77% ±18 | 84% ±24 | 15h | 2.10% | 1.45% | 365 → 9 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,482.15–2,487.23 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 5.3% | 1.9d | 3.2d ago · 78× | 91% ±9 | 38% ±9 | 12% ±6 | 50% ±9 | 109 | 79% ±5 | 91% ±9 | 95% ±11 | 97% ±15 | 1h | 1.83% | 1.27% | 248 → 6 | |
| at post · 2,481.75 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 2,428.07 (-2.2%) | 3.2 | 3.2% | 22h | 4.3d ago · 58× | 28% ±9 | 47% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 76 | 7% ±2 | 28% ±9 | 50% ±17 | 67% ±24 | 3.0d | 2.10% | 1.76% | 611 → 15 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,403.35 (-3.2%) | 4.7 | 3.4% | 1.0d | 4.2d ago · 84× | 23% ±6 | 57% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 119 | 3% ±1 | 23% ±6 | 46% ±13 | 60% ±19 | 3.8d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 1033 → 25 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,384.53 (-3.9%) | 5.8 | 2.4% | 12h | 20.2d ago · 30× | 10% ±5 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±5 | 26% ±13 | 39% ±23 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 734 → 17 | |
| LVN zone | 2,125.88–2,209.56 (-11.0%) | 16 | <0.1% | 3m | 13.6d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±13 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 554 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.