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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-18 08:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 2,545.49 (+1.6%) | 2.4 | 0.9% | 4h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 46% ±10 | 53% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 118 | 13% ±3 | 46% ±10 | 68% ±16 | 84% ±19 | 1.2d | 2.28% | 1.61% | 603 → 14 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,523.59–2,530.04 (+0.8%) | 1.1 | 2.8% | 1.1d | 1.8d ago · 69× | 73% ±12 | 53% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 40% ±10 | 90 | 45% ±5 | 73% ±12 | 83% ±18 | 90% ±21 | 7h | 2.05% | 1.30% | 315 → 8 | |
| 7D POC | 2,513.05 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 5.3% | 1.9d | 3.2d ago · 103× | 87% ±8 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±5 | 45% ±8 | 140 | 72% ±4 | 87% ±8 | 92% ±11 | 95% ±13 | 1h | 2.10% | 1.45% | 425 → 10 | |
| at post · 2,504.37 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,474.86–2,482.15 (-0.9%) | 1.3 | 5.7% | 2.0d | 1.5d ago · 84× | 71% ±11 | 51% ±9 | 12% ±6 | 37% ±9 | 122 | 41% ±5 | 71% ±11 | 85% ±15 | 90% ±20 | 7h | 1.99% | 1.37% | 379 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,428.07 (-3.0%) | 4.4 | 3.4% | 23h | 4.3d ago · 58× | 20% ±7 | 47% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 76 | 3% ±1 | 20% ±7 | 44% ±15 | 64% ±22 | 3.9d | 2.10% | 1.76% | 783 → 19 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,403.35 (-4.0%) | 5.8 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 4.2d ago · 84× | 18% ±6 | 57% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 119 | 2% ±1 | 18% ±6 | 38% ±12 | 53% ±19 | 5.6d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 1108 → 26 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,388.67 (-4.6%) | 6.7 | 2.8% | 17h | 20.2d ago · 30× | 8% ±5 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±5 | 23% ±12 | 37% ±22 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 814 → 19 | |
| LVN zone | 2,126.32–2,208.77 (-11.8%) | 17 | <0.1% | 4m | 13.6d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 6% ±14 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 523 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.