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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-18 12:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 2,548.58 (+1.9%) | 2.8 | 0.7% | 2h | 1.1d ago · 97× | 43% ±9 | 53% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 118 | 10% ±2 | 43% ±9 | 65% ±15 | 82% ±18 | 1.3d | 2.28% | 1.61% | 728 → 17 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 2,523.86–2,526.49 (+0.9%) | 1.3 | 2.7% | 1.0d | 1.7d ago · 69× | 69% ±12 | 53% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 40% ±10 | 90 | 39% ±5 | 69% ±12 | 81% ±18 | 89% ±22 | 8h | 2.05% | 1.30% | 322 → 8 | |
| 7D POC | 2,513.05 (+0.5%) | 0.7 | 5.3% | 1.9d | 3.1d ago · 103× | 85% ±8 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±5 | 45% ±8 | 140 | 68% ±4 | 85% ±8 | 91% ±11 | 95% ±13 | 1h | 2.10% | 1.45% | 455 → 11 | |
| at post · 2,501.47 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 2,482.15–2,486.1 (-0.6%) | 0.9 | 5.4% | 1.9d | 1.4d ago · 84× | 79% ±10 | 51% ±9 | 12% ±6 | 37% ±9 | 122 | 57% ±5 | 79% ±10 | 90% ±13 | 92% ±16 | 3h | 1.99% | 1.37% | 403 → 10 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,424.98 (-3.1%) | 4.6 | 3.3% | 22h | 4.3d ago · 58× | 20% ±7 | 48% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 77 | 3% ±1 | 20% ±7 | 43% ±14 | 64% ±22 | 4.0d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 806 → 19 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,403.35 (-3.9%) | 5.8 | 3.4% | 1.0d | 4.1d ago · 84× | 18% ±6 | 57% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 119 | 2% ±1 | 18% ±6 | 38% ±12 | 53% ±19 | 5.6d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 1111 → 26 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,394.32 (-4.3%) | 6.4 | 3.2% | 21h | 20.1d ago · 30× | 9% ±5 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±5 | 24% ±13 | 36% ±22 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 793 → 19 | |
| LVN zone | 2,129.98–2,210.75 (-11.6%) | 17 | <0.1% | 3m | 13.5d ago · 46× | 0% ±1 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 6% ±14 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 513 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.