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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-18 16:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 2,596.47 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 2,545.33 (-2.0%) | 2.6 | 1.1% | 5h | 2.1d ago · 64× | 55% ±15 | 46% ±11 | 4% ±4 | 50% ±11 | 77 | 17% ±5 | 55% ±15 | 73% ±23 | 85% ±29 | 20h | 1.70% | 2.11% | 247 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 2,383.76–2,530.76 (-2.5%) | 3.4 | 2.4% | 17h | 2.1d ago · 84× | 38% ±10 | 48% ±9 | 23% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 132 | 8% ±2 | 38% ±10 | 64% ±17 | 73% ±25 | 1.5d | 1.91% | 1.51% | 518 → 12 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 2,524.88–2,526.95 (-2.7%) | 3.6 | 2.8% | 21h | 4.7d ago · 55× | 34% ±15 | 48% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 41% ±12 | 65 | 7% ±3 | 34% ±15 | 61% ±26 | 76% ±34 | 2.0d | 1.93% | 1.73% | 244 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 2,513.08 (-3.2%) | 4.3 | 6.3% | 2.1d | 1.3d ago · 106× | 35% ±10 | 52% ±8 | 9% ±4 | 40% ±8 | 158 | 7% ±2 | 35% ±10 | 58% ±18 | 76% ±24 | 2.0d | 2.08% | 1.22% | 513 → 12 | |
| 30D POC | 2,498.42 (-3.8%) | 5.0 | 6.9% | 2.3d | 1.7d ago · 72× | 27% ±10 | 54% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 95 | 4% ±2 | 27% ±10 | 53% ±19 | 69% ±27 | 2.6d | 2.14% | 1.12% | 460 → 11 | |
| 14D POC | 2,482.15 (-4.4%) | 5.8 | 6.4% | 2.3d | 1.7d ago · 84× | 23% ±9 | 48% ±9 | 14% ±6 | 38% ±9 | 122 | 4% ±2 | 23% ±9 | 45% ±18 | 64% ±26 | 3.8d | 1.86% | 1.57% | 532 → 13 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,401.4–2,415.71 (-7.0%) | 9.2 | 4.3% | 1.2d | 4.4d ago · 84× | 6% ±4 | 53% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 41% ±9 | 119 | 1% ±0 | 6% ±4 | 21% ±10 | 39% ±19 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.46% | 1043 → 25 | |
| LVN zone | 2,101.51–2,213.23 (-14.8%) | 20 | <0.1% | 5m | 13.8d ago · 46× | 0% ±1 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±14 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 436 → 10 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.