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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-17 09:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,472 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 80,086.37 (+4.8%) | 8.2 | 1.4% | 10h | 5.0d ago · 38× | 5% ±4 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±4 | 18% ±11 | 33% ±20 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 921 → 22 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,849.58 (+4.5%) | 7.7 | 2.6% | 1.3d | 1.2d ago · 67× | 13% ±5 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 89 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±5 | 30% ±12 | 46% ±20 | > 7d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 946 → 23 | |
| 7D VAH | 77,929.14 (+2.0%) | 3.4 | 4.4% | 1.3d | 1.2d ago · 89× | 31% ±8 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 116 | 6% ±2 | 31% ±8 | 59% ±15 | 73% ±20 | 2.0d | 1.41% | 1.01% | 759 → 18 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 77,158.29–77,249.31 (+0.9%) | 1.6 | 6.0% | 2.9d | 6.1d ago · 116× | 58% ±12 | 43% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 150 | 26% ±4 | 58% ±12 | 82% ±16 | 88% ±21 | 16h | 1.39% | 0.94% | 369 → 9 | |
| at post · 76,438.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 76,242.61–76,384.08 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.0% | 11h | 19.6d ago · 56× | 86% ±14 | 43% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 49% ±11 | 73 | 68% ±7 | 86% ±14 | 92% ±19 | 93% ±25 | 2h | 1.32% | 1.32% | 149 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 75,800.47 (-0.8%) | 1.4 | 1.7% | 13h | 6.2d ago · 99× | 63% ±11 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 31% ±4 | 63% ±10 | 80% ±15 | 84% ±21 | 11h | 1.47% | 1.25% | 489 → 12 | |
| LVN zone | 73,131–74,229.22 (-2.9%) | 5.0 | 0.1% | 18m | 7.2d ago · 46× | 22% ±11 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±11 | 44% ±22 | 56% ±34 | 4.7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 343 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.