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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-17 13:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,472 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 79,923.11 (+4.2%) | 6.9 | 2.3% | 1.1d | 5.0d ago · 38× | 8% ±5 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±5 | 24% ±12 | 39% ±21 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 822 → 20 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,333.44 (+3.5%) | 5.6 | 3.7% | 24h | 1.2d ago · 67× | 20% ±7 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 89 | 2% ±1 | 20% ±7 | 42% ±14 | 60% ±22 | 4.5d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 848 → 20 | |
| 7D VAH | 77,681.62 (+1.3%) | 2.1 | 4.9% | 1.7d | 1.2d ago · 89× | 52% ±11 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 116 | 18% ±3 | 52% ±11 | 72% ±17 | 81% ±23 | 22h | 1.41% | 1.01% | 473 → 11 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 77,158.29–77,291.14 (+0.6%) | 1.0 | 6.3% | 3.1d | 6.1d ago · 116× | 76% ±9 | 43% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 150 | 53% ±5 | 76% ±9 | 90% ±12 | 93% ±15 | 4h | 1.39% | 0.94% | 469 → 11 | |
| at post · 76,671.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 76,111.29 (-0.7%) | 1.2 | 1.7% | 9h | 19.6d ago · 37× | 80% ±14 | 45% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 57 | 56% ±7 | 81% ±14 | 91% ±18 | 94% ±23 | 3h | 1.41% | 1.29% | 178 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 75,602.46–75,646.74 (-1.3%) | 2.2 | 1.5% | 9h | 6.2d ago · 99× | 50% ±10 | 50% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 123 | 16% ±3 | 50% ±10 | 67% ±16 | 73% ±23 | 1.0d | 1.39% | 1.28% | 573 → 14 | |
| LVN zone | 73,207.05–74,296.14 (-3.1%) | 5.0 | 0.2% | 30m | 7.2d ago · 46× | 21% ±11 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±11 | 43% ±22 | 55% ±34 | 5.0d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 344 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.