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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-17 17:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,472 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 79,923.11 (+4.3%) | 6.7 | 2.4% | 1.2d | 5.0d ago · 38× | 9% ±5 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±5 | 26% ±13 | 40% ±22 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 801 → 19 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,185.97 (+3.3%) | 5.2 | 4.4% | 1.1d | 1.2d ago · 67× | 22% ±7 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 89 | 3% ±1 | 22% ±7 | 45% ±14 | 62% ±21 | 3.8d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 835 → 20 | |
| 7D VAH | 77,632.12 (+1.3%) | 2.0 | 5.1% | 1.8d | 1.2d ago · 89× | 54% ±11 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 116 | 19% ±4 | 54% ±11 | 73% ±17 | 82% ±23 | 18h | 1.41% | 1.01% | 450 → 11 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 77,158.29–77,291.14 (+0.7%) | 1.1 | 6.6% | 3.1d | 6.0d ago · 116× | 75% ±10 | 43% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 150 | 52% ±5 | 75% ±10 | 89% ±12 | 93% ±15 | 4h | 1.39% | 0.94% | 459 → 11 | |
| at post · 76,641.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 76,111.29 (-0.7%) | 1.1 | 1.8% | 9h | 19.6d ago · 37× | 82% ±14 | 45% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 57 | 59% ±7 | 82% ±14 | 91% ±18 | 94% ±23 | 3h | 1.41% | 1.29% | 184 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 75,552.95–75,646.74 (-1.3%) | 2.0 | 1.6% | 10h | 6.2d ago · 99× | 51% ±10 | 50% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 123 | 17% ±3 | 51% ±10 | 68% ±16 | 74% ±23 | 24h | 1.39% | 1.28% | 568 → 14 | |
| LVN zone | 73,207.05–74,296.14 (-3.1%) | 4.8 | 0.2% | 31m | 7.2d ago · 46× | 22% ±11 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±11 | 45% ±22 | 58% ±34 | 4.4d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 337 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.