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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-18 05:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 79,934.58 (+3.2%) | 6.7 | 1.7% | 21h | 4.9d ago · 38× | 9% ±5 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±5 | 26% ±13 | 41% ±22 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 795 → 19 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,307.84 (+2.4%) | 5.0 | 3.0% | 19h | 1.3d ago · 67× | 23% ±7 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 89 | 3% ±1 | 23% ±7 | 46% ±15 | 62% ±22 | 3.6d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 803 → 19 | |
| 7D VAH | 77,681.62 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 3.9% | 1.4d | 1.5d ago · 89× | 85% ±9 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 116 | 65% ±5 | 85% ±9 | 92% ±12 | 95% ±15 | 2h | 1.41% | 1.01% | 366 → 9 | |
| at post · 77,457.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 77,134.79–77,211.34 (-0.3%) | 0.7 | 5.3% | 2.8d | 3.6d ago · 114× | 86% ±8 | 47% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 44% ±8 | 151 | 64% ±4 | 86% ±8 | 91% ±11 | 95% ±13 | 2h | 1.30% | 0.96% | 442 → 11 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 76,138.38–76,141.31 (-1.7%) | 3.6 | 1.4% | 7h | 19.5d ago · 56× | 32% ±10 | 44% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 49% ±11 | 73 | 6% ±2 | 32% ±10 | 50% ±18 | 61% ±27 | 3.0d | 1.32% | 1.32% | 542 → 13 | |
| 7D VAL | 75,651.96 (-2.3%) | 4.9 | 1.2% | 8h | 6.2d ago · 99× | 24% ±7 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 4% ±1 | 24% ±7 | 44% ±13 | 58% ±20 | 4.5d | 1.47% | 1.25% | 989 → 24 | |
| LVN zone | 73,070.57–74,154.36 (-4.3%) | 8.9 | <0.1% | 8m | 7.2d ago · 46× | 8% ±6 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±6 | 18% ±15 | 28% ±27 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 446 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.