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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-18 09:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 79,960.29 (+2.3%) | 4.6 | 1.8% | 20h | 5.0d ago · 38× | 22% ±9 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 4% ±2 | 22% ±9 | 48% ±19 | 60% ±28 | 3.4d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 503 → 12 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,307.84 (+1.5%) | 2.9 | 3.2% | 20h | 1.4d ago · 67× | 38% ±11 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 89 | 11% ±3 | 38% ±11 | 65% ±18 | 74% ±26 | 1.8d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 474 → 11 | |
| at post · 78,168.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 77,731.13 (-0.6%) | 1.1 | 4.3% | 1.4d | 1.8d ago · 72× | 79% ±13 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 80 | 57% ±6 | 79% ±13 | 86% ±19 | 90% ±26 | 3h | 1.25% | 1.07% | 229 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 77,191.13–77,211.34 (-1.2%) | 2.4 | 5.6% | 3.0d | 3.6d ago · 114× | 54% ±12 | 47% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 44% ±8 | 151 | 17% ±4 | 54% ±12 | 72% ±18 | 84% ±23 | 20h | 1.30% | 0.96% | 432 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 76,203.06–76,208.53 (-2.5%) | 5.0 | 1.6% | 9h | 19.6d ago · 56× | 20% ±7 | 44% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 49% ±11 | 73 | 3% ±1 | 20% ±7 | 37% ±15 | 51% ±23 | 5.8d | 1.32% | 1.32% | 739 → 18 | |
| 7D VAL | 75,651.96 (-3.2%) | 6.4 | 1.3% | 8h | 6.2d ago · 99× | 17% ±6 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±6 | 36% ±13 | 53% ±20 | 6.2d | 1.47% | 1.25% | 1015 → 24 | |
| LVN zone | 73,171.4–74,243.33 (-5.0%) | 10.0 | 0.1% | 18m | 7.2d ago · 46× | 7% ±6 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 15% ±14 | 24% ±26 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 434 → 10 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.