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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-18 13:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 80,046.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 79,984.06 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.9% | 20h | 5.9d ago · 36× | 92% ±14 | 43% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 47% ±14 | 46 | 85% ±7 | 92% ±14 | 96% ±18 | 97% ±24 | 1h | 1.48% | 0.91% | 93 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,185.69 (-1.1%) | 1.9 | 4.0% | 1.0d | 1.4d ago · 58× | 57% ±17 | 44% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 46% ±12 | 65 | 26% ±6 | 57% ±17 | 77% ±26 | 92% ±27 | 17h | 1.29% | 0.91% | 183 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 77,753.72 (-2.9%) | 5.1 | 4.8% | 1.5d | 1.8d ago · 72× | 23% ±13 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 80 | 4% ±2 | 23% ±13 | 51% ±27 | 65% ±42 | 3.0d | 1.25% | 1.07% | 225 → 5 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 77,168.13–77,274.82 (-3.5%) | 6.2 | 6.3% | 3.3d | 3.6d ago · 114× | 14% ±7 | 47% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 44% ±8 | 151 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±7 | 39% ±17 | 55% ±27 | 4.6d | 1.30% | 0.96% | 538 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 76,203.54–76,371.74 (-4.6%) | 8.2 | 2.4% | 17h | 19.5d ago · 56× | 7% ±4 | 44% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 49% ±11 | 74 | 1% ±0 | 7% ±4 | 19% ±10 | 35% ±19 | > 7d | 1.33% | 1.31% | 1010 → 24 | |
| 7D VAL | 75,522.88 (-5.7%) | 10 | 1.1% | 5h | 6.2d ago · 99× | 7% ±4 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±4 | 24% ±12 | 41% ±22 | > 7d | 1.47% | 1.25% | 843 → 20 | |
| LVN zone | 73,252.02–74,237.2 (-7.3%) | 13 | 0.1% | 19m | 7.2d ago · 46× | 3% ±4 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 5% ±10 | 13% ±22 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 357 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.