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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-18 17:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 80,977.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 79,866.69 (-1.4%) | 2.3 | 2.8% | 1.3d | 6.0d ago · 36× | 56% ±18 | 43% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 47% ±14 | 46 | 14% ±5 | 56% ±18 | 85% ±22 | 95% ±22 | 20h | 1.48% | 0.91% | 173 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 76,313.59–79,866.69 (-1.4%) | 2.3 | 2.8% | 1.3d | 1.8d ago · 98× | 55% ±11 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 18% ±3 | 55% ±11 | 70% ±18 | 78% ±24 | 20h | 1.42% | 0.94% | 464 → 11 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,342.57 (-2.0%) | 3.5 | 3.8% | 1.0d | 1.4d ago · 58× | 41% ±15 | 44% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 46% ±12 | 65 | 7% ±3 | 41% ±15 | 72% ±24 | 84% ±29 | 1.5d | 1.29% | 0.91% | 239 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 77,885.96 (-3.8%) | 6.5 | 5.0% | 1.5d | 1.8d ago · 72× | 17% ±14 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 80 | 2% ±2 | 17% ±14 | 45% ±31 | 60% ±48 | 3.6d | 1.25% | 1.07% | 172 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 77,157.65–77,237.4 (-4.6%) | 7.9 | 6.9% | 3.5d | 3.6d ago · 114× | 8% ±6 | 47% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 44% ±8 | 151 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±6 | 31% ±17 | 48% ±27 | 4.9d | 1.30% | 0.96% | 533 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,455.72 (-5.6%) | 9.5 | 3.0% | 21h | 19.6d ago · 37× | 6% ±4 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±4 | 15% ±10 | 30% ±19 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 919 → 22 | |
| 14D VAL | 76,176.02 (-5.9%) | 10 | 1.9% | 10h | 20.1d ago · 56× | 5% ±3 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±3 | 15% ±9 | 31% ±18 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 1043 → 25 | |
| 7D VAL | 75,479.38 (-6.8%) | 12 | 1.0% | 5h | 6.2d ago · 99× | 5% ±4 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±4 | 21% ±13 | 39% ±23 | > 7d | 1.47% | 1.25% | 720 → 17 | |
| LVN zone | 73,186.86–74,323.86 (-8.2%) | 14 | 0.2% | 35m | 7.2d ago · 46× | 2% ±4 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±9 | 11% ±22 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 342 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.