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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-18 16:30 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,697.64 (+1.0%) | 3.2 | 2.8% | 4h | 6.6d ago · 49× | 10% ±9 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±9 | 29% ±24 | 50% ±40 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 245 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 7,672.59 (+0.6%) | 2.1 | 14.6% | 1.1d | 4.6d ago · 46× | 26% ±19 | 27% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 32% ±13 | 53 | 12% ±6 | 26% ±19 | 46% ±37 | 66% ±54 | 3.9d | 0.47% | 0.25% | 123 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,652.81–7,687.09 (+0.4%) | 1.2 | 5.8% | 10h | 4.6d ago · 65× | 57% ±16 | 31% ±10 | 33% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 82 | 34% ±6 | 58% ±16 | 71% ±26 | 81% ±35 | 23h | 0.53% | 0.35% | 211 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 7,632.71–7,658.47 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 10.6% | 13h | 4.4d ago · 78× | 61% ±15 | 29% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 33% ±9 | 99 | 42% ±6 | 61% ±14 | 74% ±22 | 84% ±30 | 20h | 0.42% | 0.25% | 261 → 6 | |
| at post · 7,624.65 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,575.69–7,592.16 (-0.4%) | 1.4 | 5.3% | 6h | 5.6d ago · 67× | 42% ±18 | 22% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 40% ±10 | 85 | 19% ±6 | 41% ±18 | 57% ±31 | 74% ±43 | 2.2d | 0.60% | 0.50% | 179 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.