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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-09-18 16:30 UTC
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TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,770 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.197, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.36 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 373.2208–379.532 (+2.9%) | 2.4 | 1.7% | 51m | 14.4d ago · 46× | 35% ±23 | 24% ±11 | 29% ±12 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 12% ±6 | 34% ±22 | 62% ±39 | 82% ±44 | 2.2d | 1.76% | 2.35% | 105 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAH · 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 365.7826–369.2598 (+0.8%) | 0.7 | 12.2% | 18h | 1.5d ago · 68× | 48% ±15 | 32% ±10 | 35% ±11 | 33% ±10 | 78 | 31% ±6 | 49% ±15 | 60% ±26 | 71% ±36 | 1.5d | 1.78% | 1.21% | 243 → 6 | |
| at post · 362.775 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 362.1783 (-0.2%) | 0.1 | 10.2% | 12h | 5.6d ago · 78× | 83% ±15 | 30% ±9 | 32% ±10 | 38% ±10 | 90 | 63% ±8 | 83% ±15 | 90% ±21 | 97% ±21 | 1h | 1.72% | 1.53% | 143 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 358.4654–359.5141 (-0.9%) | 0.7 | 8.1% | 9h | 7.6d ago · 79× | 67% ±14 | 24% ±8 | 41% ±10 | 35% ±9 | 100 | 45% ±6 | 67% ±14 | 79% ±20 | 86% ±27 | 18h | 1.73% | 1.19% | 269 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 352.0332–356.5412 (-1.7%) | 1.4 | 8.6% | 12h | 5.3d ago · 68× | 52% ±18 | 31% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 84 | 30% ±7 | 52% ±18 | 70% ±28 | 77% ±41 | 1.0d | 1.72% | 1.14% | 179 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 352.0332 (-3.0%) | 2.4 | 6.8% | 13h | 6.4d ago · 44× | 26% ±18 | 27% ±12 | 44% ±13 | 29% ±12 | 52 | 7% ±4 | 26% ±18 | 50% ±35 | 71% ±51 | 3.0d | 1.76% | 1.04% | 145 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.