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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-09-18 19:30 UTC
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TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,770 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.197, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.36 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 372.0021–379.4739 (+2.1%) | 1.8 | 2.0% | 1h | 14.5d ago · 46× | 45% ±23 | 24% ±11 | 29% ±12 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 17% ±7 | 44% ±22 | 69% ±37 | 87% ±38 | 1.9d | 1.76% | 2.35% | 111 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D POC · 14D POC · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 365.8913–369.0964 (+0.5%) | 0.4 | 12.0% | 18h | 1.6d ago · 68× | 55% ±18 | 32% ±10 | 35% ±11 | 33% ±10 | 78 | 38% ±7 | 55% ±18 | 65% ±29 | 75% ±42 | 1.0d | 1.78% | 1.21% | 184 → 4 | |
| at post · 364.23 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 362.7804 (-0.4%) | 0.3 | 11.4% | 14h | 5.7d ago · 78× | 78% ±16 | 30% ±9 | 33% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 91 | 59% ±8 | 78% ±16 | 86% ±23 | 94% ±22 | 1h | 1.73% | 1.53% | 160 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 360.0392 (-1.2%) | 1.0 | 8.0% | 9h | 7.7d ago · 58× | 63% ±16 | 24% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 38% ±11 | 76 | 45% ±7 | 63% ±16 | 77% ±24 | 86% ±30 | 18h | 1.78% | 1.36% | 209 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 352.0773–356.2283 (-2.2%) | 1.9 | 8.4% | 12h | 5.4d ago · 68× | 39% ±20 | 31% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 84 | 16% ±6 | 39% ±19 | 63% ±33 | 70% ±52 | 2.0d | 1.72% | 1.14% | 144 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 356.057 (-2.2%) | 1.9 | 8.4% | 12h | 11.5d ago · 79× | 39% ±16 | 23% ±8 | 44% ±10 | 33% ±9 | 100 | 14% ±5 | 38% ±16 | 60% ±28 | 73% ±39 | 2.0d | 1.70% | 1.06% | 220 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 352.9075 (-3.1%) | 2.7 | 7.8% | 16h | 6.5d ago · 44× | 26% ±17 | 27% ±12 | 44% ±13 | 29% ±12 | 52 | 6% ±4 | 25% ±17 | 49% ±35 | 70% ±45 | 3.1d | 1.76% | 1.04% | 150 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.