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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-19 01:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 81,253 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 79,870.67 (-1.7%) | 2.5 | 3.2% | 1.5d | 5.9d ago · 36× | 55% ±18 | 43% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 47% ±14 | 46 | 14% ±5 | 55% ±18 | 86% ±22 | 94% ±22 | 22h | 1.48% | 0.91% | 180 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 76,520.5–79,870.67 (-1.7%) | 2.5 | 3.2% | 1.5d | 1.7d ago · 98× | 52% ±11 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 15% ±3 | 52% ±11 | 68% ±18 | 77% ±24 | 22h | 1.42% | 0.94% | 486 → 12 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,412.58 (-2.3%) | 3.4 | 4.4% | 1.3d | 1.4d ago · 58× | 41% ±15 | 44% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 46% ±12 | 65 | 7% ±3 | 41% ±15 | 71% ±24 | 84% ±29 | 1.5d | 1.29% | 0.91% | 243 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,116.21 (-3.9%) | 5.7 | 5.9% | 2.0d | 1.7d ago · 72× | 21% ±14 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 80 | 3% ±3 | 21% ±14 | 49% ±30 | 63% ±42 | 3.2d | 1.25% | 1.07% | 202 → 5 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 77,195.11–77,257.54 (-4.9%) | 7.3 | 7.9% | 3.9d | 4.6d ago · 84× | 10% ±6 | 47% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 42% ±9 | 112 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±6 | 32% ±17 | 47% ±27 | 6.4d | 1.32% | 0.96% | 528 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D POC · 14D VAL | 76,205.77–76,520.5 (-5.8%) | 8.7 | 3.8% | 1.1d | 3.5d ago · 114× | 6% ±4 | 45% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 47% ±8 | 151 | 1% ±0 | 6% ±4 | 21% ±10 | 37% ±19 | 5.4d | 1.29% | 1.13% | 1041 → 25 | |
| 7D VAL | 75,523.47 (-7.1%) | 10 | 1.4% | 7h | 6.1d ago · 99× | 6% ±4 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 0% ±0 | 6% ±4 | 22% ±12 | 40% ±22 | > 7d | 1.47% | 1.25% | 802 → 19 | |
| LVN zone | 73,036.32–74,242.38 (-8.6%) | 13 | 0.2% | 26m | 7.1d ago · 46× | 3% ±4 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 6% ±10 | 14% ±22 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 364 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.