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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-19 05:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 81,015.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 79,850.65 (-1.4%) | 2.3 | 3.2% | 1.5d | 5.9d ago · 36× | 57% ±18 | 43% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 47% ±14 | 46 | 15% ±5 | 57% ±18 | 85% ±22 | 94% ±23 | 20h | 1.48% | 0.91% | 173 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 76,522.44–79,722.64 (-1.6%) | 2.5 | 3.8% | 1.7d | 1.7d ago · 98× | 51% ±11 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 15% ±3 | 51% ±11 | 68% ±18 | 77% ±24 | 22h | 1.42% | 0.94% | 485 → 12 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,344.35 (-2.1%) | 3.2 | 4.3% | 1.1d | 1.3d ago · 58× | 43% ±15 | 44% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 46% ±12 | 65 | 8% ±3 | 43% ±15 | 72% ±25 | 85% ±29 | 1.5d | 1.29% | 0.91% | 242 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,184.44 (-3.5%) | 5.5 | 5.5% | 1.9d | 1.7d ago · 72× | 21% ±14 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 80 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±13 | 49% ±28 | 64% ±42 | 3.2d | 1.25% | 1.07% | 214 → 5 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 77,195.11–77,226.48 (-4.7%) | 7.3 | 7.6% | 3.8d | 4.6d ago · 84× | 10% ±6 | 47% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 42% ±9 | 112 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±6 | 32% ±17 | 47% ±27 | 6.5d | 1.32% | 0.96% | 529 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D POC | 76,444.57–76,522.44 (-5.5%) | 8.7 | 3.6% | 1.0d | 3.5d ago · 114× | 7% ±4 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 46% ±8 | 151 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±4 | 24% ±12 | 40% ±21 | 5.3d | 1.30% | 1.06% | 882 → 21 | |
| 14D VAL | 76,137.54 (-6.0%) | 9.5 | 2.1% | 10h | 19.9d ago · 56× | 5% ±3 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±3 | 16% ±9 | 32% ±18 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 1046 → 25 | |
| 7D VAL | 75,523.47 (-6.8%) | 11 | 1.3% | 7h | 6.1d ago · 99× | 6% ±4 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 1% ±0 | 6% ±4 | 22% ±12 | 40% ±22 | > 7d | 1.47% | 1.25% | 798 → 19 | |
| LVN zone | 73,194.23–74,346.3 (-8.2%) | 13 | 0.2% | 41m | 7.1d ago · 46× | 3% ±4 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±10 | 13% ±22 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 364 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.