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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-19 09:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,469 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.41 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 81,303 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 79,710.76 (-2.0%) | 3.3 | 3.7% | 1.7d | 5.8d ago · 36× | 51% ±17 | 43% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 47% ±14 | 46 | 10% ±4 | 51% ±16 | 82% ±22 | 89% ±27 | 1.0d | 1.48% | 0.91% | 214 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 76,691.4–79,487.1 (-2.2%) | 3.7 | 3.9% | 1.3d | 1.6d ago · 98× | 36% ±10 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 7% ±2 | 36% ±10 | 57% ±17 | 71% ±24 | 2.0d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 574 → 14 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,344.35 (-2.4%) | 4.0 | 4.1% | 1.0d | 1.2d ago · 58× | 37% ±15 | 44% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 46% ±12 | 65 | 6% ±3 | 37% ±15 | 68% ±24 | 81% ±31 | 1.7d | 1.29% | 0.91% | 249 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,184.44 (-3.8%) | 6.4 | 5.3% | 1.8d | 1.6d ago · 72× | 17% ±14 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 80 | 2% ±2 | 17% ±13 | 45% ±31 | 61% ±48 | 3.6d | 1.25% | 1.07% | 182 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 77,194.63–77,195.11 (-5.1%) | 8.4 | 7.2% | 3.5d | 4.5d ago · 84× | 7% ±6 | 47% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 42% ±9 | 112 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±5 | 27% ±16 | 43% ±27 | > 7d | 1.32% | 0.96% | 529 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D POC | 76,444.57–76,467.74 (-5.9%) | 9.9 | 3.3% | 22h | 3.4d ago · 114× | 6% ±4 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 46% ±8 | 151 | 1% ±0 | 6% ±4 | 20% ±11 | 35% ±19 | 6.3d | 1.30% | 1.06% | 952 → 23 | |
| 14D VAL | 76,137.54 (-6.4%) | 11 | 1.9% | 10h | 19.8d ago · 56× | 4% ±3 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 14% ±9 | 30% ±18 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 1055 → 25 | |
| 7D VAL | 75,455.24 (-7.2%) | 12 | 1.0% | 5h | 6.0d ago · 99× | 5% ±4 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±4 | 21% ±13 | 39% ±23 | > 7d | 1.47% | 1.25% | 711 → 17 | |
| LVN zone | 73,001.08–74,566.67 (-8.3%) | 14 | 0.3% | 1h | 7.0d ago · 46× | 2% ±4 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±8 | 11% ±22 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 352 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.