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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-19 13:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,469 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.41 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 81,319.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 79,757.35 (-1.9%) | 4.2 | 2.7% | 1.1d | 5.7d ago · 36× | 40% ±16 | 43% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 47% ±14 | 46 | 6% ±3 | 39% ±15 | 70% ±25 | 80% ±32 | 1.5d | 1.48% | 0.91% | 233 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,344.35 (-2.4%) | 5.3 | 3.2% | 19h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 28% ±14 | 44% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 46% ±12 | 65 | 4% ±2 | 28% ±14 | 58% ±26 | 69% ±37 | 2.3d | 1.29% | 0.91% | 246 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 76,705.77–79,336.44 (-2.4%) | 5.3 | 3.2% | 19h | 1.6d ago · 98× | 24% ±8 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 3% ±1 | 24% ±8 | 49% ±17 | 67% ±25 | 3.2d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 590 → 14 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,252.67 (-3.8%) | 8.2 | 4.0% | 1.2d | 1.6d ago · 72× | 12% ±14 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 80 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±13 | 38% ±36 | 54% ±56 | 4.5d | 1.25% | 1.07% | 130 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 77,179.29–77,195.11 (-5.1%) | 11 | 5.6% | 2.7d | 4.4d ago · 84× | 5% ±5 | 47% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 42% ±9 | 112 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 19% ±15 | 40% ±29 | > 7d | 1.32% | 0.96% | 475 → 11 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D POC | 76,444.57–76,495.32 (-5.9%) | 13 | 2.6% | 17h | 3.3d ago · 114× | 3% ±3 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 46% ±8 | 151 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 13% ±9 | 26% ±17 | > 7d | 1.30% | 1.06% | 1055 → 25 | |
| 14D VAL | 76,137.54 (-6.4%) | 14 | 1.4% | 7h | 19.8d ago · 56× | 2% ±2 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±8 | 26% ±18 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 964 → 23 | |
| 7D VAL | 75,455.24 (-7.2%) | 16 | 0.8% | 3h | 5.9d ago · 99× | 3% ±4 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 16% ±14 | 34% ±28 | > 7d | 1.47% | 1.25% | 475 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 73,022.82–74,496 (-8.4%) | 18 | 0.2% | 49m | 6.9d ago · 46× | 1% ±3 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 9% ±23 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 270 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.