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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-19 17:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,467 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.42 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 81,426 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 79,682.1 (-2.1%) | 5.3 | 2.6% | 1.2d | 5.6d ago · 36× | 28% ±14 | 44% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 4% ±2 | 27% ±14 | 54% ±27 | 68% ±41 | 2.7d | 1.52% | 0.91% | 230 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,405.08 (-2.5%) | 6.2 | 2.7% | 17h | 1.3d ago · 58× | 25% ±14 | 44% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 46% ±12 | 65 | 3% ±2 | 24% ±14 | 50% ±27 | 61% ±43 | 3.0d | 1.29% | 0.91% | 228 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 76,781.32–79,281.99 (-2.6%) | 6.6 | 2.9% | 16h | 1.5d ago · 98× | 19% ±8 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 2% ±1 | 19% ±8 | 43% ±17 | 63% ±25 | 4.1d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 587 → 14 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,281.16 (-3.9%) | 9.6 | 3.6% | 24h | 1.5d ago · 72× | 7% ±14 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 80 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±13 | 31% ±41 | 47% ±69 | > 7d | 1.25% | 1.07% | 87 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 77,192.36–77,231.44 (-5.2%) | 13 | 5.1% | 2.6d | 4.3d ago · 84× | 3% ±4 | 47% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 42% ±9 | 112 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±4 | 13% ±14 | 35% ±30 | > 7d | 1.32% | 0.96% | 435 → 10 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAL | 76,481.23–76,489.91 (-6.1%) | 15 | 2.3% | 15h | 3.3d ago · 114× | 2% ±2 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 46% ±8 | 151 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±8 | 23% ±17 | > 7d | 1.30% | 1.06% | 1062 → 25 | |
| 14D VAL | 76,173.81 (-6.5%) | 16 | 1.4% | 7h | 19.7d ago · 56× | 2% ±2 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±9 | 24% ±19 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 850 → 20 | |
| 7D VAL | 75,401.11 (-7.4%) | 18 | 0.6% | 3h | 5.8d ago · 99× | 3% ±5 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 14% ±15 | 31% ±30 | > 7d | 1.47% | 1.25% | 367 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.