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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-19 21:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,467 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.42 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 81,070.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 79,675.19 (-1.7%) | 4.5 | 2.6% | 1.1d | 5.6d ago · 36× | 37% ±15 | 44% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 5% ±3 | 36% ±15 | 68% ±25 | 78% ±33 | 1.6d | 1.52% | 0.91% | 236 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,405.08 (-2.1%) | 5.3 | 2.6% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 58× | 28% ±14 | 44% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 46% ±12 | 65 | 4% ±2 | 27% ±13 | 58% ±26 | 68% ±37 | 2.3d | 1.29% | 0.91% | 249 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 76,777.85–79,192.3 (-2.3%) | 6.0 | 3.0% | 17h | 1.5d ago · 98× | 21% ±8 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 2% ±1 | 21% ±8 | 46% ±17 | 65% ±25 | 3.7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 590 → 14 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,351.41 (-3.4%) | 8.7 | 3.6% | 23h | 1.5d ago · 72× | 12% ±14 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 80 | 1% ±2 | 11% ±14 | 38% ±36 | 52% ±57 | 4.3d | 1.25% | 1.07% | 124 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 77,192.36–77,212.46 (-4.8%) | 12 | 4.9% | 2.4d | 4.3d ago · 84× | 4% ±4 | 47% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 42% ±9 | 112 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±4 | 14% ±14 | 36% ±28 | > 7d | 1.32% | 0.96% | 447 → 11 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAL | 76,488.12–76,489.91 (-5.6%) | 15 | 2.2% | 14h | 3.3d ago · 114× | 2% ±2 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 46% ±8 | 151 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±8 | 24% ±16 | > 7d | 1.30% | 1.06% | 1079 → 26 | |
| 14D VAL | 76,173.81 (-6.0%) | 16 | 1.3% | 6h | 19.7d ago · 56× | 2% ±2 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±8 | 24% ±18 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 874 → 21 | |
| 7D VAL | 75,401.11 (-7.0%) | 18 | 0.6% | 2h | 5.8d ago · 99× | 3% ±5 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 14% ±15 | 32% ±30 | > 7d | 1.47% | 1.25% | 380 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.